In the context of the Middle East 2020

In the Middle East, a mass movement of people against the dictatorial regime called the "Arab Spring" emerged, which soon took the form of a revolution. The movement began in Tunisia in November 2010 and spread to Yemen. It was a human rights struggle in which the people took to the streets for the supremacy of the constitution and the elected legislature and for the rule of democracy. Now 2020 is over and ten years later, when the success of this movement is studied, it can be said that no society in the Middle East has achieved significant success in it. Except for Tunisia, which built its system on democratic principles. The rest of the countries have similarly the worst dictatorships.

There was some initial success in Egypt. There, some Gulf states overthrew the elected government with the help of the Egyptian army. A decade later, civil war continues in other countries in the region (Yemen, Syria and Libya). In Syria, the situation is somewhat under control, despite the fact that chaos still exists, infrastructure is severely damaged and human rights abuses continue. However, as far as the war is concerned, its intensity has definitely decreased.

Similarly, if you look at Yemen, instead of improving in 2020, things went from bad to worse. Because there were more active parties involved. For example, the north is occupied by the Houthis, but in the south there are sharp differences between groups backed by the UAE and Saudi Arabia. They first clashed, then formed a coalition government, which did not last long. It has been a few weeks since a coalition government was formed between them due to Saudi pressure. Which means the region has become unstable.

When it comes to the rest of the Gulf countries, Saudi Arabia and the UAE have long failed blockades of Qatar, but they have not succeeded. Because Qatar increased trade with Turkey and also established good relations with Iran. Now there is talk on the platform of the Gulf Cooperation Organization that Saudi Arabia and the UAE should refrain from this illegal move. In 2020, President Trump signed an agreement known as the "Abraham Peace Accord." It included Israel, Bahrain and the United Arab Emirates, but later Morocco.

To understand the political chessboard of the Middle East, it is important to understand the role of two princes, Muhammad bin Sulaiman (Saudi Arabia) and Muhammad bin Zayed (Emirati), as they both appear to be more passionate about their military status in the region. Extremists have a tendency towards other countries. If you look at the population of the UAE, it is a country of 8.5 million people. Of these, only 1.5 million are citizens, while the rest are foreigners. Saudi Arabia has a similarly small population and lacks defense capabilities. That is why they rely on other countries, especially the United States, for their security. If both of them are seen interfering in the internal affairs of other countries in the region, then such operations have become quite widespread. As the aggression of Saudi Arabia and UAE against Iran and Turkey is not coming to an end.

New alliances are now being formed in the Middle East. It remains to be seen what the new US President Joe Biden's strategy will be. If we look only at 2020, we see the United States, Israel, Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates and Bahrain on one side, while on the other side we see the major non-Arab countries in the region, such as Turkey, Iran and Pakistan. With which China may also join. Such as the 25-year agreement between China and Iran.

The United States is expected to renew its nuclear deal with Iran and avoid Trump's extremist rhetoric. Saudi Arabia and the UAE have already started saying that if the nuclear deal is revived, we should be included in it, which shows a change in their attitude. It now appears that Saudi Arabia and the UAE will seek a way to protect themselves from within the region. Because the US strategy under Biden's auspices looks very different from Trump's. If this thinking matures, it can be hoped that the Middle East will move towards stability in 2021.

However, dictatorship reigns in all the countries of the Middle East that have signed agreements with Israel. The will of the people has not been sought or involved in any matter. One of the reasons for these agreements is that they see it as a protection for their power. Regardless of the fact that the countries of the Middle East must ensure each other's protection through agreements. Even more astonishing is the fact that Palestine is not mentioned in this whole issue. However, stability in the region is not possible by ignoring Palestine. Until this issue is resolved, no concrete goal can be achieved by such agreements